Plop

A blog as useful as a frog jumping in a pond…

A probable chance of precipitation

Her chameleon skin umbrella was effective at making her blend in with her surroundings

~§~

Another thought as incomplete as the last but this time related to a specific photograph…

Occasionally things just fall into place, seemingly by luck or divine intervention. I would subscribe to luck over divine intervention but since both pertain to superstition I prefer to think of it in terms of probability.

While walking through the cobblestone streets of Orleans in France I came across the mural in the photograph. I’m a sucker for trompe l’oeil artistry and so found myself stopped in my tracks looking over this particular artwork. I had no intention of photographing it; as much as I enjoyed it I wasn’t driven to capture it. I was happy to just consign it to memory and move on.

But then something happened.

A single drop of rain landed on my cheek just beneath my eye, catching my eyelashes and making me blink a few times. In hindsight it is difficult to know exactly what changed but something did. I found myself turning on my camera, bringing it up to my eye and composing to make a photograph. Looking through the viewfinder I noticed the colours of the cobblestones on the street and how they matched the colours of the mural. I noticed the lines and curves of the seats and the steps blending in with the curves of the painting but still I was holding off from pressing down on the shutter button. If someone had asked me what I was waiting for I would not have known what to say. It just felt like a pattern was forming and a piece was missing. Then suddenly, my eye still glued to the viewfinder, a woman walks into the frame and puts up her umbrella, perhaps also having just had a drop of rain land on her cheek. Despite being a little startled by her unexpected appearance, my finger pressed down on the shutter button and the image was made.

The dynamics of the scene is completely changed by the appearance of the woman and her umbrella. The pattern on the umbrella matches the cobblestones, the colours blends in perfectly and the curves, formed by the ribs, are there too. Without the woman and her umbrella this photo would not have had the same impact on me.

So what made me take a photo when I had only just previously decided not to? What made me wait for the woman to enter the frame? Was it luck? Coincidence? Does life play with dice or not? Albert Einstein, at least I think it was him, once said, and I’m paraphrasing, we can live as if nothing is a miracle or we can live as if everything is a miracle. Meaning that as far as the laws of science refer to reality they are not certain and as far as they are certain they do not refer to reality.

The reality is that I’ll never answer these questions. I doubt mind and language have the capacity to express let alone understand the full picture — if you’ll excuse the pun — but I don’t care. I don’t care if it’s luck, divinity or fate but if pressed I would have to say that life is simply a matter of probability.

While the game of life may appear to be played in accordance to a set of rules, I get the feeling that the game is fixed, at least within the constraints of probability. Like tossing a coin. Prior to each toss you can’t be certain of the outcome but given enough tosses you know the outcome is fixed. That’s what probability does. But what were the odds that I would be standing there, camera in hand, when the woman entered the scene? Too great to be anything else but a coincidence? Well then, what were the odds that the dust that came out of the Big Bang, 13 billion years ago, would, over those billions of years, come together to form an umbrella, or a camera, or an eyeball? I mean how mind-boggling is it that we are here at all? Mind-boggling because as I said before, I doubt mind can grasp the full reality of what’s happening here and now. But just as there was a probable chance of precipitation that day in Orleans, that photograph was in all probability, a done deal even 13 billion years ago. After all, events with billion-to-one odds happen every minute of the day do they not?

Accepting that there are no answers to my questions, at least none that I could ever hope to comprehend, I live as if every thing is a wonder. It might just improve my odds of making better photographs.

March 3, 2011 - Posted by | Concept, Photography | , , , ,

9 Comments »

  1. And all the mysteriously ethereal impermanent elements that all came to be for that split instant must have been collectively musing, “how delightfully unexpected that this creature with a camera should choose THIS moment to join us!” great shot Cedric!

    Comment by Andy ilachinski | March 3, 2011 | Reply

  2. The story here for me is not these events occurred but a photographers awareness and sense of them to be ready for that moment. It’s that awareness of a universal Kaleidoscope forming masterpieces we as photographers strive to develop. Yet sometimes it’s easier for our minds to accept it as luck or divine intervention.

    In any case, a wonderful moment well captured, Cedric!

    Comment by Earl | March 3, 2011 | Reply

  3. “You will become an economist Ted, so it’s time,” my thesis advisor confided, “Time to reveal the secret of professional success.”
    “Whoa!” I thought, sitting there in the quiet of his New England office. “This is a big moment.”
    With the slightest smile he leaned forward and softly said…. “Forecast often.”

    Heh heh… Which brings me to Cartier-Bresson. The great man taught us to hunt the ‘Decisive Moment’ when every element came together in ways that would never seem random once they were fixed within his print.

    Decades after his death, some heir revealed Bresson’s cache of negatives and we learned that his secret was… take a shit-load of images.

    The economist and the Bresson follower realize that success happens the same way for them as it happens for the guy, standing ankle deep in a cold running brook with a pan. We need to go through a lot of sand and dirt before we discover a golden nugget.

    The trick of creating great fame is to only display the forecast that got it right, the pan that held the gold, the capture that froze the decisive moment.

    The thing is, you seem to show us an improbable share of decisive moments Cedric. Is that luck? Or a talented intervention. Like Earl up above, I’m thinking that you are not sufficiently sensitive to (or supportive of) the role of talent in what you do… particularly your own.

    Comment by Ted Byrne | March 3, 2011 | Reply

  4. It took a long while to get past that photograph. Revelation!

    Comment by Juha Haataja | March 3, 2011 | Reply

  5. A great photo, no doubt. But knowing the great ones, like Cartier-Bresson, is a talent. Muse all you want afterward, but with camera in hand, pay attention to your surroundings and you’ll be rewarded.

    Comment by Ken Bello | March 3, 2011 | Reply

  6. Being a “card-carrying” statistician for over 30 years, I can’t pass up any conversation dealing with my old friend “probability”. It’s a term that makes people’s eyes glaze over, especially here in the U. S., where math skills are something less than barely adequate.

    But it’s really very simple. It’s the word we use to describe those events that we can’t easily predict. Like a single toss of a coin (your example). It’s not that such an event can’t be predicted – given the right information, it can be. If we know all the variables involved and can quantify them, we can create a model that will predict the outcome each and every time. But it would be extremely difficult. And why would we want to?

    So we instead create a more general model that says that the coin will come up heads (or tails) 50% of the time. IN THE LONG RUN.

    The point, however, is that all individual events are created by some specific set of variables, governed by some very specific physical laws. We may not fully understand them, but they are there and operating nonetheless. Luck has no say in any of it. Nor are there any supernatural interventions.

    That goes for human activity as well. Those same laws govern everything we do. Our “choices” are determined by chemistry and electrical impulses. We are hardwired from birth. As you point out, “the game is fixed”. We just don’t know – or understand – the nature of the “fix”. So our actions appear to be random, or (hopefully) conscious choices.

    You may not be able to explain your “decision” to stand in that spot with your finger on the shutter, but some set of physical inputs to your brain determined that particular outcome. It was neither divine nor mystical. And it certainly wasn’t “luck”. It was the inevitable outcome of whatever was occurring at that moment in time.

    I know that few will agree with that. It appears to take all of the romance and mystery out of the notion of “creativity”. Actually, it doesn’t. But that’s another story.

    Comment by Paul Maxim | March 4, 2011 | Reply

    • I’m very late to this, but as I read Cedric’s post, I couldn’t help thinking what mathematical explanation Paul would come up with. LOL. He’s a statistician to his heart! :)

      Comment by Paul | March 18, 2011 | Reply

  7. Due to a new filter I set up incorrectly in my Gmail account I missed all these comments. Sorry about that and thanks for the comments and feedback.

    Good point about volume equating to the odd winner but I can’t help thinking there’s a little more to it. What exactly, I’m not sure. It’s like there’s patterns happening (within the bounds of probability) and some people can tune in to these patterns as they develop (consciously or not) and then make the most of them; in any field, from making photos to trading foreign exchange.

    Probability is fascinating, to me at least, and to Paul M. by the sounds of it. I have a lot of thoughts about it but I’ll have to leave it for another time.

    Anyway, thanks all for dropping in and for the kind words about the photograph.

    Comment by Cedric | March 13, 2011 | Reply

  8. Wonderful photograph

    Comment by Garrick | March 15, 2011 | Reply


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